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Weekly Dispatch

Shoebox Street.

Newsletter Apr 23: The Missing Middle & The Sunset Squeeze

Welcome back. This week's disclosure tape is dominated by the "Missing Middle". Out of six new filings, five are boutique townhome or multiplex projects (6 to 11 units). But don't let the small scale fool you—the risk profiles vary wildly.

The prevailing theme? Liquidity is locked. Developers are instituting highly restrictive assignment policies, and sunset dates are stretching well into the 2030s. If you're parking capital here, expect it to stay parked.

New Filings

6

Total Units Marketed

101

Avg. Assignment Policy

Highly Restrictive

Longest Sunset Risk

2031

Macro Trends: Risk & Product

Visualizing the capital lock-up periods and product concentrations from this week's filings.

Sunset Risk Duration (Years)

Estimated years from filing to outside cancellation date. Longer bars = higher capital lock-up risk.

Unit Concentration by Type

Townhomes (driven by Hillside's 66 units) dominate, but small 6-unit multiplexes are the most frequent project type filed.

Interactive Deal Flow

Select a project from the roster to view our proprietary credit and risk summary.

Select a project to view details.

The Alpha Watchlist

High-signal variables we are tracking across this cohort. Changes to these metrics in future amendments will indicate shifting developer leverage.